Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri Valley
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
55 Loyola Chicago 100.0%   11   27 - 5 15 - 3 27 - 5 15 - 3 +9.5      +4.7 55 +4.7 55 63.6 314 +10.8 47 +10.4 1
123 Northern Iowa 0.0%   14 - 16 7 - 11 14 - 16 7 - 11 +2.6      +1.3 123 +1.3 123 59.3 350 +2.2 135 -0.5 9
124 Missouri St. 0.0%   17 - 15 7 - 11 17 - 15 7 - 11 +2.4      +1.2 124 +1.2 124 64.2 300 +1.5 146 -0.5 8
131 Bradley 0.0%   19 - 13 9 - 9 19 - 13 9 - 9 +2.0      +1.0 131 +1.0 131 64.7 286 +3.3 119 +2.2 5
139 Illinois St. 0.0%   17 - 15 10 - 8 17 - 15 10 - 8 +1.5      +0.8 139 +0.8 139 71.1 119 +4.1 107 +3.5 4
142 Southern Illinois 0.0%   19 - 13 11 - 7 19 - 13 11 - 7 +1.3      +0.6 142 +0.6 142 66.1 247 +3.6 112 +4.9 2
147 Evansville 0.0%   15 - 15 7 - 11 15 - 15 7 - 11 +1.1      +0.5 147 +0.5 147 64.1 305 +1.0 156 -0.3 7
155 Valparaiso 0.0%   13 - 17 6 - 12 13 - 17 6 - 12 +0.9      +0.5 155 +0.5 155 72.3 91 -0.6 179 -1.7 10
157 Indiana St. 0.0%   11 - 18 8 - 10 11 - 18 8 - 10 +0.7      +0.4 157 +0.4 157 73.0 78 -1.2 185 +1.0 6
162 Drake 0.0%   15 - 16 10 - 8 15 - 16 10 - 8 +0.5      +0.2 162 +0.2 162 68.3 193 +1.5 145 +3.7 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Loyola Chicago 1.0 100.0
Northern Iowa 7.0 100.0
Missouri St. 7.0 100.0
Bradley 5.0 100.0
Illinois St. 3.0 100.0
Southern Illinois 2.0 100.0
Evansville 7.0 100.0
Valparaiso 10.0 100.0
Indiana St. 6.0 100.0
Drake 3.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Loyola Chicago 15 - 3 100.0
Northern Iowa 7 - 11 100.0
Missouri St. 7 - 11 100.0
Bradley 9 - 9 100.0
Illinois St. 10 - 8 100.0
Southern Illinois 11 - 7 100.0
Evansville 7 - 11 100.0
Valparaiso 6 - 12 100.0
Indiana St. 8 - 10 100.0
Drake 10 - 8 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Loyola Chicago 100.0% 100.0
Northern Iowa
Missouri St.
Bradley
Illinois St.
Southern Illinois
Evansville
Valparaiso
Indiana St.
Drake


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Loyola Chicago 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11   0.0 0.2 1.2 8.2 74.9 15.3 0.2
Northern Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bradley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Indiana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drake 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Loyola Chicago 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 35.8% 11.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Northern Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Indiana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drake 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 35.8% 0.4 64.2 35.8
Sweet Sixteen 11.3% 0.1 88.7 11.3
Elite Eight 3.0% 0.0 97.0 3.0
Final Four 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Game 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0